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Science Matters |
So Does Truth and Common Sense |
9/27/98
So you still think there is something to the global warming
initiative! You are still convinced that our way of life, our
industries, our cars, our very way of life will cause global
warming!
A warning - don't be too sure. I've interviewed a number of
scientists, two of them sit on the UN's International panel (IPCC
stands for International Panel on Climate Change). They both
agree and this statement pretty much expresses their opinion on
the subject. "The IPCC claim that global warming will be
catastrophic is simply not supported by scientific
evidence".
Some 15,000 other scientists agree, saying "We urge the U.S.
Government to reject the global warming agreement that was
written in Kyoto, Japan earlier this year. The proposed limits on
greenhouse gases will harm the environment,hinder the advance of
science and technology and damage the health and welfare of
mankind". And there is their opinion....
"There is no convincing scientific evidence that human
release of carbon dioxide, methane or other greenhouse gases is
causing or will cause, in the foreseeable future, any
catastrophic warming of the Earth's atmosphere and climate.
Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases
in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects
upon the natural plant and animal environments of the
Earth".
These scientists hold advanced degrees in the pertinent
scientific fields of atmospheric physics, meteorology,
oceanography, geology, agriculture and in relevant engineering
specialties. Some of the signers actually participated in the
IPCC's work which clearly demonstrates the absence of a
"consensus" among the IPCC scientists. These 15,000
scientists are not organized around a political agenda.
"But 1998 may well turn out to be the warmest year on
record!" a friend told me. "Doesn't that confirm global
warming?"
No, it doesn't; long term trends aren't proven by what happens in
one year. It's true, however, that 1998 may well prove to be one
of the hottest years in some time.
It seems that this may well be caused by unusual sun activity
from solar flares. The highest global temperatures ever recorded
by our satellites seem to relate directly to solar flares,
according to Dr. Arthur Poland at the Goddard Space Center.
CNN (not the best source in science reporting) told us on April
8th of this year that these solar flares, this sun activity, has
been "the likes of which scientists have not seen
before". This time CNN is correct.
Temperatures on earth are affected by sun activity, according to
Dr. Arthur Robinson at the Oregon Institute of Science and
Medicine, who points out, "It is clear that even relatively
short, half century long fluctuations in temperatures correlated
well with variations in solar activity".
Of course this great global warming debate is based on a possible
increase in worldwide carbon dioxide increase. In turn, alarmists
tell us that CO2 is our chief greenhouse
gas.
Wrong again. Moisture is the chief greenhouse gas by far. Any
warming increases the amount of moisture in the air, increases
cloud cover and, in all probability, will increase rainfall and
snowfall.
We've had periods on Mother Earth, when CO2
has increased or decreased. Our atmospheric CO2
content has never been stable, as one discovers in any longtime
study. For instance, in the 18th century, concentrations of CO2 were much lower than current levels. That
period was known as the "little ice age".
Students of global warming really seem to believe increased
warming will cause glaciers and ice caps to melt, causing oceans
to rise and flooding huge coastal areas. "This flooding will
be a major catastrophe to mankind", they tell us.
Not true. Should there be any warming in Arctic areas, there will
be more snowfall and consequently the ice caps and the glaciers
will be heavier. Why? In Arctic regions where temperatures are
usually well below freezing, a warming, say from zero to +10 or
+15 degrees will certainly increase snowfall, the depth of the
ice caps, and more glaciers.
Is there another agenda here by these enthusiastic
environmentalists? Almost certainly! These people want smaller
cars, more bus and train travel and segregated communities. They
want to have us live in clustered villages. Then one can easily
take buses to town. . .so I've been told. Those who live out in
the country will be taxed higher.
In every environmental initiative I've studied over some 29
years, such 'command and control' authority is usually sought.
This global warming initiative seeks just such authority!
Hiram Perry writes on environmental, agricultural and other scientific topics for various Maine publications. Contact Hiram Perry by phone (234-2790) or email perry@uninets.net |